Open Thread

This is a page for your use, to try out html tags and see what they look like, to post new ideas, to pass along interesting information, to suggest future topics for discussion, to reach out and contact me directly, the floor is yours.

w.

 

44 thoughts on “Open Thread

  1. HI Willis, I really enjoy the beauty of your writing.

    You may like to read about Gertrude Bell who was a remarkable English woman about a generation before your mother but who accomplished similar adventures in the Middle East and Arabia. She became the only female major in the British Army and worked with T E Lawrence. She and he shared a determination that the Arabs should be self governing but were thwarted by the government after the war.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Hello Willis. I am 77 year old uk human with a good education and love the toing and froing between headless chickens and knowledge and common sense.

    I have once posted that if all those apolitical scientist spoke always of ” ever changing climate” rather than repeat the mantra of ” climate change” we could eliminate the misinformation that pervades our media.

    Keep it all going.

    Regards

    Roger welsh

    Like

  3. Jerry Pournelle passed along an interesting tidbit in his column today, Government Unions were enabled by Executive Order by JFK.

    which brings up the very interesting possibility of Trump eliminating them at the stroke of a pen.

    Like

  4. Hi Willis,
    I first appreciated your writing at “WUWT” and find your blog quite rewarding. Please keep it up. I don’t use any social media sites but wanted to recommend additional material regarding you post: “Legalize It All.” Richard Nixon merely escalated the war on drugs, it actually started about 30 earlier pushed by Harry Anslinger as head of the Federal Bureau of Narcotics and not just in America but world wide. The well researched book: “Chasing the Scream: The First and Last Days of the War on Drugs” by Johann Hari is based on Mr. Anslinger’s paperwork archived at Penn State University. It details the birth of and ever escalating ‘war on drugs’ and describes in painful detail the negative and self defeating consequences of this obsession. Sadly, the demagogic politicians, drug cartels, and vast bureaucracy rewarded by the drug wars make its continuation likely but hope springs eternal and wider knowledge can have surprising results. After all, I went from support for to being opposed to the war on drugs too. And yes. like you, I tried some in my college years and luckily found them not worth the bother.

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  5. Willis
    I enjoy your writings. Your stories are amazing to me.
    I am just another angry old white man and so, I have questions.
    One of the things I don’t understand is the immigration argument.
    The USA has taken on the responsibility of some 10 million and maybe even 15 million poor and ignorant immigrants, worldwide. I believe that is enough for now as we catch our breath.
    When Europe gets to 15 million, let us know and we can re-join the effort.
    Does this sound unreasonable?

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    • Thansk for the comment, Mike. While in general I agree I must take exception to the characterization of immigrants as “poor and ignorant”. While some of them are, many of them are people smart enough to look around and see that the world they’re living in suck, and that with lots of effort and some money they might be able to emigrate to the US. They are neither poor nor ignorant, and some of them are very educated, doctors and the like.

      As to how many we are taking, the total for this year will be 50,000 … at that rate it will take us 20 years to bring in the next million, so it doesn’t seem like a huge issue. For me the question is illegal immigration, not legal immigration.

      w.

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  6. Willis, can I communicate without Worldpress involved or is that how the site works? I like your blog and your point of view immensely…..l agree with your political and scientific point of view; thankyou for your work here and at WUWT. I would suggest you peak at Geoff Sharp’s site http://www.landscheidt.info/ and ponder the probability that the sun’s pulse (sunspot/flares) may in fact be caused by the orbital beat of the planets around the sun. A few papers with one recent, show some relationships first with Jupiter and Saturn but in all probability, all the planets must contribute to this variation.

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    • Penn Lion, when Ted Landscheidt was alive I used to communicate with him. I wanted to understand just how his theory worked … but I was never able to understand it. I even wrote a spreadsheet to give me the barycentric orbits for any time past or future, but even with Ted’s assistance I couldn’t make it work.

      In addition the forces involved are tiny ….

      Regards,

      w.

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      • Two possible thoughts. First it might not be tides or solar wobble due to angular momentum affects; second it might be magnetics or electrical given what changes on the sun also is magnetic (flares/sunspots). The peculiar thing is that there appears to be a pattern relating to planetary position at times which correlate to tree rings and ions due to solar wind fluctuations and little ice ages. If the evidence in these physical things is real,then the cause might show it’s face. thks b

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  7. Hey Willis,
    I wonder if you might tell your friend/ competition over at WUWT that his website is running really slow and has been for like a week.
    I check into 20 sites a day, and his is the only one running horribly slow.
    I can’t even get this comment up on his site.
    Thanks

    Like

  8. I am not a wordpress inhabitant. I live in New Zealand so many of your comments are beyond my competence to comment on. I enjoy your posts.
    Here is a site which you may not have https://www.lifewire.com/types-of-internet-trolls-3485894
    I found it yesterday and was wondering where I could pass it on to.
    Incidentally one or two of your posters are ill informed about the Bible as we have it today.
    It was in fact brought together by the Church before the split between East and West.
    The interpretation and reasons why they brought those particular scriptures together can be found by asking Orthodox Churches in the U.S or the U.K I always start from Ancient Faith blogs and podcasts
    http://blogs.ancientfaith.com/ some are useful, others not.

    I found from Jewish world review that Jewish rabbis use other s criptures and have done so for a thousand years or more.

    The early followers of Marx were following a man who had left a strongly orthodox Jewish family to follow various fashionable 19thC philosophies. So they were skewed against Jews and Christians from the beginning.

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  9. Hey Willis, I would love to pick your brain, privately, about conditions in Fiji. I am going there 2/27 to assist with a sea level survey.

    Thanks!

    PMK

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  10. About Vikings. By coincidence I’m just reading a library book.
    North Men .
    The Viking Saga 793- 1241
    John Haywood. 2015.

    948.02 HAY Dewey decimal system

    The Vikings who ranged from Iceland to Novgorod and Byzantium and settled parts of England .
    Interesting maps. also the lead up to the Viking Age in Scandinavia.

    Like

  11. Can you tell me why a Press briefing session at the U S Whitehouse is called a ‘gaggle’?
    The collective noun for a group of geese is a gaggle. Is it an insult to the ‘press’ to liken them to geese rushing around making a lot of noise and making a gaggling sound? I have never heard the term used for reporters.

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  12. Here’s a thought.
    Compare President Trump with Rodney Dangerfield playing crude millionaire Thorton Mellon in “Back To School”.
    He grew up in the construction business, learned the back and forth of BS with workmates, blew kisses at passing women and knows how life actually works.
    He is put down by the elite in academia and the high brow urban dwellers but loved by the people.
    Plus he knows how to make things, including money.

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  13. I hope I’m not intruding with my posts?
    I just was looking at book which may be of interest to those who think wiretapping is a new thing.
    Spy Catcher. The Candid Autobiography of a Senior Intelligence Officer. Peter Wright Former Assistant Director of MI5 (U.K)
    He tells of his beginnings with Marconi and the Post Office Telegraph. Not all conversations were intercepted by wiretapping. Reflected sound from hard surfaces in a room could be recorded outside the building.
    A fascinating book.

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  14. Willis, just as an aside, apparently neither President Trump nor the media have noticed this but I find it interesting that 13 U.S spy agencies (and now all of the main stream media) agree that it was the Russians that were hacking/interfering with our last presidential election when according to Wikileaks the CIA has a group, the UMBRAGE group, that is dedicated to impersonating other country’s hacking techniques. How the hell do they know who did it?

    From Wikileaks (https://wikileaks.org/ciav7p1/):

    “The CIA’s Remote Devices Branch’s UMBRAGE group collects and maintains a substantial library of attack techniques ‘stolen’ from malware produced in other states including the Russian Federation.

    “With UMBRAGE and related projects the CIA cannot only increase its total number of attack types but also misdirect attribution by leaving behind the “fingerprints” of the groups that the attack techniques were stolen from.”

    Liked by 1 person

    • We don’t know who did it. John McAfee pointed this out last year, that a good hacker leaves a false trail.

      Also, we have ABSOLUTELY NO EVIDENCE that the Russians released what they found, and for what it’s worth, both Julian Assange and his offsider deny it as well.

      w.

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      • I had forgotten about McAfee. Come to think of it, didn’t they release the Climategate emails through one or more Russian servers? As far as I know they still haven’t found out who did that.

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  15. Hi Willis,
    I’m sure you’ve seen Scott Pruitt’s latest comments on CO2:

    “So no, I would not agree that it’s a primary contributor to the global warming that we see,” Pruitt said. “But we don’t know that yet, we need to continue to debate, continue the review and analysis.”

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-epa-pruitt-idUSKBN16G1XX

    I had hoped to see something a little more tempered, like: “So no, I would not agree that it’s the primary contributor….”

    Am I picking nits? The true believer CAGWers are having a field day with this.

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  16. Willis, I think you are a throwback. In earlier times you would have been one of the most admired people in the world. Now, we have people from a very narrow fields trying to promulgate their opinions in fields that need multi-disciplined experts. The generalist are the ones who can bring all of them all together. Remember, Sir Isaac Newton was an alchemist. Talk about a generalist!

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  17. Willis,
    One of my online acquaintances created “Silver”.

    > Sliver is a powerful and intuitive software application for multi-dimensional (multivariate) data visualization and analysis on Windows. < w w w.sliversoftware.c om/

    I haven't tried it, so do not know if it is useful for climate data, but it sure looks pretty.

    Like

    • Sadly (or fortunately) I run on a Mac. The good news is that the computer program “R” that I do most of my work in is multiplatform, as well as being interpreted on the fly and wicked-fast. There are a number of packages for “R” designed to do large multi-dimensional data visualization and analysis.

      I started out in 1962 by learning the computer language Alcom, followed by Basic, C/C++, Mathematica,
      Hypertalk, VectorScript, Pascal, and Visual Basic for Applications. Finally, a decade ago I learned “R”, and I suspect or perhaps hope I won’t need to learn another. After more than a half century of programming, I’ve found a language I like.

      w.

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      • Willis, I am not sure where the topic should be.

        As before (on WUWT) we were able to agree on what comes first, the sun rise or the temperature rise if you remember. Well I am still recording my “weather” but have added even more sensors in my yard.

        I made an attempt to measure the temperature and the humidity of the underground as a comparison to the normal surface air temperature. To my surprise, the correlation did not fit in to anything. The settling time of the “slanted hole” in my yard in which my buried weather station transmitter was located, took a long time (over a day). Apparently it had dried out so quickly that it took that long to saturate. The RH finally settled out at 99%. That caused my transmitter to quit working. On the temperature, it did generally what I thought it would but never followed the outside air temp (sensor just above the ground).

        I have noticed that some weather sites have ground temperature sensors installed (just from comments on the site notes) but they are not published along with the other sensors. So nothing to compare with somewhere else.

        Recently, my study of water vapor.

        Please watch the 24hr video strip of http://www.weather.gov/satellite?image-ir#wv .
        I live in the central part of the Texas hill country just north of Uvalde in the lowest valley before the land turns flat all the way to the gulf of Mexico. We get the water vapor currents from the Pacific that
        sweep up across the US and is the cause of the weather patterns. The clouds form above me but do not generate alot of bad weather here. Easy to observe by just going outside and looking up. The dry line that forces these weather currents shifts north and south of my location and provides me with a nice change of humidity to compare with other metrics. It has recently gone from 85% to 16% in under 4 hours.

        Unprecedental? I don’t know.

        And not sadly, but I also use two Macks. Those and along with other PCs in which I run them “sadly” when I have to. (conversions and things like that). My email account has been all screwed up from the beginning so I seldom use it.

        And btw, I love your site.

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        • Lee, it’s great to hear from you. Regarding the look at the in-ground conditions, let me recommend my bible in these matters, Rudolph Geiger’s “The Climate Near The Ground”. It’s a classic, first published in the 1950’s from memory, now in the seventh edition.

          Keep up the weather data collection, it is the basis of everything. Glad you like the site.

          Regards and welcome,

          w.

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          • Thanks for the encouragement, but my intentions are not to follow the weather but to observe the actions of the “Climate”. Whereever I look into “published metrics”, I see the heavy handed remarks that always lead us to the meme. Like you I am trying to grab that famous golden ring that has been painted with gold paint.

            May I again ask you to look at the water vapor video above. From my stand point, I see a big black spot that is moving across the Gulf of Mexico. This is the third time it has appeared. It started in an area of Mexico close to or to the east of Cuidad Victoria.

            I called it a “hot spot” but maybe it should be called a “dry spot”. The first time it appeared, it seemed to start as a small spot but began to grow and meander east into the gulf. This time it appears to be a large area that appeared in the gulf. I suggest it is a factory smoke stack or a burn off flame.

            I did check out the paper you suggested. Seems to be the wholey book for the meme. It has been revised many times by those using it. From memory I believe it is up to the 7th. I found the original on line for about $4.00. I plan to get a copy to see what the revisions are and who made them.

            My study is progressing (I hate using that word) to a stopping point. I have been able to chart out the movements of those coronal holes that seem to be the last item that will give us a blip to follow changes in the density, speed, and temperature of the solar wind. I am using the barometric pressure as my guide as to when it strikes the atmosphere. After the effects of a coronal hole passes, it makes my barometer jump. The CH#82 was the most recent that was facing us on 4/20. The departing ion storm passed on the 23rd yesterday about 16:30 gmt. All the weather related activity ceased and the skys cleared up . However, there is still a stream of protons #82 that will reach earth in about 5 days. After that it will settle out due to the lack of future holes. CH#80 and 82 are a pair of re-occuring blips that give us a show every 27 days.

            Thank you for keeping this string. Enjoy your sex wax and be careful hanging ten.

            Lee O. – Concan, Texas.

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        • Again, Willis please look at the 24hr video of the water vapor above. Just below the tip of Texas there is a short burst of a “hot spot”. This is the second one that I have seen. Appears to be originated inside of Mexico.

          It doesn’t last long, but made me curious as to what it is.

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  18. Someone needs to look at the claim that sanctuary cities have less crime. For many years there has been a positive correlation between immigrants and a good economy. However, a good economy is more likely to cause immigrants, not that immigrants cause a good economy.

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  19. Willis, I’d bet my bottom Dollar that you read E. M. Smith. His take on the Syria situation is that it is impossible to rule out the likelihood that POTUS Trump has just been neo-conned. In case you haven’t seen it, link here https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2017/04/07/if-but-lie-hope-is-vs-deception/

    Hard to know what to think.

    Context: Assad is strongly supported by Meronites, Syrian Catholics and Orthodox, and of course the Shia and Alawite minorities… and, was reported to be at the re-opening of the bombed out Aleppo cathedral. I have to say that the evidence of monstrousness fits the Sunnah followers much better than it fits the Shia-Christian allience.

    At any rate, we are cursed to live in interesting time.

    Fiji sounds like a nice place to be about now. My nephew is there, I think, , working with the “Survivor” crew, his second or third year there for filming.

    Like

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